analysis

Three farm bills were passed, and the same day Harsimrat Kaur Badal, the minister in the NDA had resigned. Congress said, resigning from the post is not enough to show your oppose to the farm bills, you have to leave NDA to prove yourself. So, in 2 days Sukhbir Singh Badal declared his exit from the NDA.

Interestingly, a similar incident had occurred 2 years back. Chandrababu Naidu the president of Telugu Desam Party, had also asked his 2 members of parliament to resign, threatening the NDA while demanding the ‘Special Status’ for Andhra Pradesh state. To which, the opposition leader Jaganmohan Reddy, the founder and president of YSRCP demanded Telegu Desam Party should exit from NDA to show their seriousness for the ‘Special Status’ movement.

Telegu Desam Party quit NDA, not only that but also brought a no-confidence motion against Modi government. During the voting process, members of Telegu Desam Party and Shiv Sena both avoided voting by standing out of the parliament. Still, Modi won the motion with higher numbers.

History is repeated in the social and political world, and if one doesn’t learn from it, then there is no other reason for the history to repeat itself. Akali dal is following the steps of Chandrababu Naidu. First, their ministers resigned, then they left NDA.

Chandrababu Naidu, after leaving NDA, worked hard to create a national alliance against Modi government, he travelled all over India meeting Mamata Banerjee, M. K. Stalin, and Akhilesh Yadav. Similarly, Sukhbir Singh Badal has now initiated the same strategy to oppose the farm bill at the national level.

In 2019 Lok sabha election, Telegu Desam party got a heavy loss. Today Chandrababu Naidu is to be found nowhere. Shiv Sena, chasing the chief minister’s post has done the same mistake. So, one has to learn from history.

No doubt, the Akali dal will get applause from every corner of the BJP opposition in the country, supporting their move. The point here is, what would be the future of Akali dal in Punjab without BJP. This is very important because, in politics, decisions are not made with short term gains in mind. The party has to think of its future also.

If Chandrababu Naidu would have calculated this, then he would not have lost the elections. BJP Never had any space in Andra Pradesh, but because Chandrababu left NDA, the BJP got a free ground to fight the elections on their own in 2019 Lok Sabha elections. They didn’t get success, but at least they got the opportunity to fight alone.

Sometimes the voter doesn’t want to vote to the ruling party nor the opposition. They are looking for a third front, and this is what happened in West Bengal. Congress had the alliance with the Left in the Lok Sabha election in 2019, but people who didn’t want to vote either Trinamool or Congress-Left alliance, voted to the third front that is BJP.

The same thing happened in Punjab, people who did not want to vote to BJP-Akali Dal or Congress, voted to the third front that is Aam Admi Party. These votes can be gained by BJP in the Punjab elections in 2022.

The other part here is, Sidhu wanted the BJP to fight alone in Punjab in 2017, because he opposes both Akali Dal and Congress, that means if Sidhu returns to BJP in future, this would again help BJP in 2022 elections. Akali dal did a big mistake stepping out of NDA, the same mistake done by Chandrababu Naidu.

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